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02/22/2012 - St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brad Marchand scored twice as Boston doubled up St. Louis, 4-2, at Scottrade Center.
Chris Kelly and Milan Lucic each posted a goal and one assist for the Bruins, who had lost three of four coming in.
Tim Thomas stopped 30-of-32 shots for the win as Boston maintained its slim two-point lead in the Northeast Division. Ottawa topped Washington earlier Wednesday.
Chris Stewart and Ryan Reaves tallied for the Blues, who have dropped two in a row. St. Louis suffered its first home regulation setback since a 5-2 loss to Chicago on December 3.
Brian Elliott was shelled for four goals on only 19 shots in defeat.
Marchand sailed away up the middle and beat Elliott on the backhand for a key insurance goal which gave Boston a 4-2 advantage with 9:14 played in the third period. Tyler Seguin's lead pass set up the strike.
Marchand's knuckling wrister put the Bruins on the board less than three minutes into the contest, and Lucic made it 2-0 just under four minutes later by tipping a Joe Corvo floater.
Stewart slapped home a rebound from the left side at 7:17, then B.J. Crombeen outwaited Thomas and fired the right side where Reaves chopped it out of mid- air and over the goal line with 7:45 to play.
Kelly scored with 40 seconds left to send Boston up 3-2 at intermission, redirecting a Lucic feed home from the slot.
In a scoreless second period, Thomas made 14 saves and Elliott four stops. Early in the stanza, Johnny Boychuk appeared to have given the Bruins a two- goal edge, but a review determined his shot hit the left post and crossbar before caroming back into play.
Game Notes
Marchand notched his first multi-goal effort since tallying three times in an 8-0 win over Florida on December 23...St. Louis hadn't given up as many as four goals in any game since a 6-4 win over Columbus on December 18, a span of 27 contests...Elliott tied a season low for saves in a loss, having stopped 15 Flames chances in a 3-1 loss on October 28 at Calgary.
<< Noah's triple-double leads Bulls past Bucks
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joakim Noah recorded his first career triple-
double with 13 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists, as the Chicago Bulls
cruised past the Milwaukee Bucks, 110-91.
Carlos Boozer added 20 points and seven
<< Rockets hand 76ers a 5th straight loss
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Houston's Luis Scola had 19 points and 10
rebounds in Wednesday's 93-87 win over the 76ers.
Kevin Martin scored 14 of his 16 points in the fourth quarter and Kyle Lowry
finished with 13 for the Rockets,
<< Ferrer breezes into quarters at Copa Claro
Buenos Aires, Argentina (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top seed and world No. 5 David
Ferrer easily dispatched Argentina native Facundo Bagnis on Wednesday at the
Copa Claro tennis event.
Ferrer, who was the runner-up at this event two years
<< Wichita State downs Illinois State, claims MVC crown
Normal, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joe Ragland paced four Wichita State players in
double figures with 14 points as the Shockers took down Illinois State by a
68-55 count on Wednesday to lock up the Missouri Valley Conference title.
Garrett
Packers TE Finley tweets 2-year deal >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Green Bay Packers and tight end Jermichael Finley have
agreed on a two-year deal.
Finley confirmed a report of the deal on his Twitter account Wednesday night,
saying:
"It's TRUE! Thank you so much to the Packers
Vinci out at Monterrey Open >>
Monterrey, Mexico (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Italian Roberta Vinci was a
second-round loser at the $220,000 Monterrey Open on Wednesday.
Vinci fell to Russian Nina Bratchikova 7-5, 7-5 in 1 hour, 21 minutes on the
hardcourts at Sierr
Ellis' last-second shot lifts Warriors over Suns; Curry injures foot >>
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Monta Ellis scored 26 points and made the game-
winning jumper with one second left, lifting the Golden State Warriors over
the Phoenix Suns, 106-104.
Ellis' fadeaway jumper with Grant Hill in his face snap
Avs turn tables on Kings with home victory >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Paul Stastny tallied twice as Colorado finished
off a season sweep of Los Angeles with a 4-1 decision at Pepsi Center.
"From start to finish tonight we played our game. We kept attacking
even after
Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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